Scenario planning is a process that stimulates imaginative, creative thinking to better prepare an organization for the future. It is also as a tool to promote innovation activities in organizations. Scenario planning may provide alternate futures in which strategies of the organization develop. Very recently, Jay Ogilvy introduced an eight steps scenario planning and strategic forecasting. According to this eight-step process, scenario planning has two major parts: first, choosing which scenario logics to flesh out, a task that comprises the first five steps, and second, telling the actual story, its implications and early indicators, which compromise the remaining steps. In order to identify opportunities and challenges faced by biomedicine sciences there are continually increasing trends for scenario planning in the field. In highly uncertain environments, as are faced in biomedicine sciences, scenario planning can provide a robust, flexible path to navigate. By evaluating the implications of societal, economic and policy impacts of these scenarios, biosciences organizations can determine how to manage a transition to regenerative medicine and personalized medicine, both of which could disrupt current healthcare systems.

Regional disparities is a concern for regional policy makers and Planners seek to identify specific policies and programs have wanted to reduce these inequalities. One of the factors of this inequalities are lee attention on the effects of spatial policy in the our country. logical Disaffiliation between distribution and investment of spatial and location factors and in the other side distribution of Resources in the local parts make a disaffiliation and inequalities among regions. In this article the model of kashan’s view is explained by analysis of SWOT program and scenario planning. With the using of this program help us to select several ways for identification and analysis of this ways and choose the best way for our management strategy. To achieve the desired future as the view of Kashan, has been taken the decisions of strategic directions.In the proposed view of kashan aria, there are different counties that will try to emphasize on the integration and values of gathering and solidarity, and their approaches perform in a pattern of regional development.This emprise will be made a synergy among development activity of different counties in kasahan.Incase this issue show the balanced limited (region)to the natural and geographic elements, that make to linkage between economic and performance economic(relationship in “this article”).This artticle try to introduce a certain scenario that can be created a balance between spatial(space) and human relations.This scenario will terminate to the regional harmony and integrated development in the kashan’s aria.

Time and uncertainty play a crucial role in the strategic planning process [1]. Many industries have collapsed or been knocked out of the competition due to unforeseen able changes in the environment and their forecast about the future failed. Organizations are faced with unpredictable changes in new technologies, products and market places and their planned strategies are not able to respond to such a dynamic and changeable environment. These sorts of pressures are increasing in future because of the rapid developments of technology, economics and community.Needless to say, the future is not predictable but it is noteworthy that organizations can prepare themselves to face such changes and this readiness results in competitive advantages. The more the uncertainties, the more considerable the competitive advantages of organizations devised robust and stable strategies against uncertainty will be.This paper aims at introducing a method that enables organizations to draw up robust strategies in uncertain situations and leads to formulation of strategies to immunize them against environment changes.The method put forth in this paper has combined 'scenario planning method' and 'fuzzy inference system' with traditional strategic planning by adopting a novel and creative approach. Using the values of uncertain factors in the external environment, this method designs some probable forthcoming scenarios of the organization and then based on fuzzy information defined by experts for fuzzy inference systems, defines a robust strategy to deal with the designed scenarios.This method assists a manager and an organizational strategic planner in their evaluations of future environment and provides them with deep understanding of their planned strategies to keep their competitive advantages in the unstable and unsettled future.

The present study was conducted to forecast the future of the country's sports media through scenario planning. The methodology employed is scenario-based planning, which is structured and implemented in eight steps. Data collection was qualitative, utilizing interviews, expert panels, and Delphi surveys. Twenty experts with specialized knowledge or practical experience were purposively selected as participants through snowball sampling. Additionally, Micmac software and Scenario Wizard were used for data analysis. The findings are presented in two parts. The first part involves identifying and categorizing key components, drivers, and related uncertainties. Five main drivers were identified: changes in sports media content, updating sports media content based on community needs, community needs assessment regarding sports media content, training of human resources and specialists in sports media by educational and academic centers, and the development of a comprehensive program for qualitative development of sports media. The relationships and interactions among these components were analyzed. The second part describes possible and feasible scenarios based on the identified drivers and uncertainties. It was found that out of two proposed scenarios, only one (Scenario 1) is in a promising condition. Scenario 2, on the other hand, is in a critical state. The analysis suggests that by changing and updating content, training human resources, and developing a comprehensive sports media program, improvements in the future of sports media can be expected. Would you like me to make it more concise or tailored for a specific purpose?

Aims: The main goal of this research is to develop event-based scenarios in the Isfahan metropolis, and the secondary goals include identifying the most important factors affecting the development of event-based development in the Isfahan metropolis, estimating the degree of influence and impact of key drivers in developing scenarios regarding the future status of event-based development in the Isfahan metropolis. Methodology: This qualitative research was carried out in 2024 in the metropolis of Isfahan. In order to identify drivers using targeted non-random sampling, the opinions of 10 urban planning experts and specialists were taken and analyzed in Mic Mac software. In order to compile the scenarios facing the metropolis of Isfahan in the event-oriented field, the opinions of 10 experts in foresight were used to score the matrix of the states facing the descriptors. Findings: The key factors influencing the event orientation of Isfahan city included 13 factors: environmental quality, open spaces, public parking, number of parks, permeability, number of historical sites, shopping centers, number of religious centers, area of ​​passages, number of restaurants, street pattern, visual appeal, and number of hotels. Of the four possible scenarios, the first and second scenarios were favorable and ideal conditions (leading scenario), scenario 3 was a relatively favorable scenario and had an intermediate state, and the fourth scenario showed a critical and unfavorable situation for the future of Isfahan's event-oriented situation. Among these, environmental quality and open spaces factors had the most impact, indicating the importance of these factors in the event management of Isfahan city in order to increase the probability of the first scenario occurring and avoid the fourth scenario. Conclusion: The factors "environmental quality" and "open spaces" have the highest level of influence, and the factors "permeability", "street pattern" and "natural surveillance" have the highest influence on other indicators, and the distribution and dispersion of the indicators in the direct effect matrix diagram indicates the instability of the system.

In order to prepare for environmental changes, foresight studies have replaced conventional and traditional planning techniques. In contrast to predictions, futures and scenario activities (as one of the most important foresight methods) focus on uncertainties that decision-makers cannot control or reduce. Scenario planning is a technique that provides different perspectives with regard to environmental uncertainties. Scenarios present the future that is likely to occur in the form of stories, provide alternative about future-related situations. In this research, the development scenarios of the Kohgiloyeh and Boyerahmad Province have been addressed. For this purpose, the Delphi method and the expert’s panel as local knowledge have been used to identify the driving forces and future uncertainties. The future development scenarios of the province were developed using the Cross-Impact Matrix and MickMak software. The results show that Kohgiluyeh and Boyer Ahmad province faces two critical uncertainties of Economic Structure and Fiscal Development. Considering the scenario logics, the province .faces four development scenarios in the future.

The market capitalization of the main pillars of the economy of any country is mentioned as a showcase and a thermometer of the economy, which represents the country's economy. Design portfolio as one of the most important issues in the financial sector has been considered by capital market participants.This research started by identifying the most important factors affecting capital markets and the use of questionnaires and enjoying views of financial experts to select the critical factors deals. Data obtained from this phase was followed by an assessment questionnaires matched. Experts in this questionnaire to select one of the dimensions of uncertainty and its impact on the index were equal exchange industry. In order to calculate the similarity between uncertainty and industries Kappa test was used. Then analyzes the results of the previous stage using planning assumptions were based. Finally, with regard to the selection of possible scenarios and possible choice of industry-based planning method was assumed. To examine and analyze statistical data and drawing graphs Spss and Excel used.Assumption-based planning of futures studies methods. In this study, a new quantitative approach to portfolio design was introduced. The results show assumption-based planning used for portfolio optimization and also outperformed the market index is.

Regional Foresight, which focuses on some of the specific land area in a given territory sub-national aims to achieve the desired future decisions, will be operational This article examines the spatial organization of Settlement systems in Isfahan province And Presentation of the urban system in the horizon 1420. This paper tries to identify the key factors influencing the development process at the regional scale, producing both possible and probable scenarios to provide the in the next 25 years Isfahan province. This research is a combination of documentary and survey methods in terms of category and is based on new methods in the science of future studies, analytical and exploratory in terms of nature, which is conducted by a combination of qualitative and quantitative models. Structural analysis is used to analyze data by use of MICMAC software. The results indicate that the key and strategic variables of Isfahan province development in Horizon 1420 includes: the way of countries macro management, the way of managing the province, water resources, inter-institutional cooperation, population, Research & Development, role of transnational Province, Investment security, Industrial Production and mineral, level of IT, Tourism, production technology. Based on the findings, Isfahan province in terms of arrangement space systems will face in the next 25 years with five main scenario: Radial scenario, a scenario dismissed Islands, a cluster scenario, the scenario of multi-center, network scenario. Among the scenarios planned, the network scenario we can see the functional spatial integration in the region and the development integrated and balanced space.